Have a look at my most recent paper where me and Lisette van Beek compare three ways of seeing and planning for the future in Tanzania. We argue that:
- Crop models and government visions reproduce imaginaries of agricultural modernization, foreclosing agroecological futures.
- Agroecology has potential to spur sustainable and just agrarian change for smallholders.
- Researchers may empower agroecological imaginaries by supporting local knowledge and participatory visioning.
- Crop models can only enable sustainable agrarian change if they model and explore transformative farm systems.
Have a look at the paper here
Proposed framework for integrating preferred local visions with scenario thinking and modelling, to provide locally informed planning and management for agricultural development.
The future visions are based on earlier studies in Tanzania with agroecological farmers and pastoralists.